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SCENARIOS

Published on Nov 18, 2015

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PRESENTATION OUTLINE

1.

SCENARIOS

  • STRENGTHS
  • does not describe just one future but several realizable futures
  • opens up mind to unimaginable possibilities
  • appropriate way to recognize disruptive events
  • improves communication, coordinates function
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2.

SCENARIOS

  • WEAKNESS
  • very time consuming
  • need deep understanding and knowledge of the field under investigation
  • definition of scenarios--scenarios are the future development of a trend or wild card event that maybe described in a story or outline form
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3.

SCANNING

  • STRENGTHS
  • an ongoing systematic process to gather information about peripheral systems
  • WEAKNESS
  • must scan in preset domains
  • not getting the right information or too much
  • Definition of scanning is based on a systematic survey of current newspapers, magazines and web sites that may have an impact on future learning
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Dianne Butler

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