Scanning

• STRENGTHS
• an ongoing systematic process to gather information about peripheral systems
• WEAKNESSES
• must scan in present domains--Social, Technological, Economic, Ecological, and Political (STEEP)
• not getting the right information, too much information, and not scanning broadly enough
• Definition of scanning by the World Future Society (n.d.) is based on a systematic survey of current newspapers, magazines, Web sites and other media for indications of changes likely to have future importance

SCENARIOS

• STRENGTHS
• does not describe just one future but several realizable futures
• opens up mind to unimaginable possibilities
• appropriate way to recognize disruptive events
• improves communication, coordinates function
• very flexible and can be adjusted to the specific situation (Meitzner & Reger, 2005)
• WEAKNESSES
• very time consuming
• qualitative approach
• need deep understanding and knowledge of the field under investigation (Meitzner & Reger, 2005)
• Definition of scenarios--scenarios are the future development of a trend, strategy or a wild card event that may be described in a story or outline form

references

• Mietzner, D., & Roger, G. (2005). Advantages and disadvantages of scenario approaches for strategic foresight. International Journal Technology Intelligence and Planning, 1(2), 220-239.
• Mills, A. & Bishop, P. (2000). Using futurism techniques in planning. An introduction for actuaries. Retrived 7/8/2015 from http://www.soa.org

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