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Russia

Published on Nov 18, 2015

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MORE DECKS TO EXPLORE

PRESENTATION OUTLINE

1.

Russia

And the "stans"
Photo by lassi.kurkijarvi
2.

Perspectives changing?

Photo by archer10 (Dennis) REPOSTING
3.

Geopolitics

Photo by Pedro J Pacheco
4.

Untitled Slide

5.

Fat Tails

  • Risk =
  • Catastrophic
  • Hard to predic
  • Rare
6.

Saudi - not so much

Family Affari
Photo by Tribes of the World
7.

Economic Ripple Effect

"Safe" Environments
Photo by WarzauWynn
8.

Probability

Hard to measure 
9.

Some risk straight forwared

Photo by Tetsumo
10.

Natural resources most often

Photo by Richard Masoner / Cyclelicious
11.

Predictable?

Photo by cliff1066™
12.

Western Values

  • IMF
  • WB
  • UN
  • WTO
13.

Factors

  • Geography
  • Politics
  • Strategy
  • History
Photo by BlatantWorld.com
14.

Rise and Fall

Amsterdam - London - US
Photo by blacktsuba
15.

Eurocurrency Markets

1960's
Photo by Bill David Brooks
16.

Predictable declines?

Photo by Matt. Create.
17.

Defense

More than nearest 14 togeteher
Photo by The U.S. Army
18.

Early Warning

Many bad decisions anyway
Photo by nosha
19.

Can governement fix everything?

Culture, Religion, Boundaries, History
Photo by elPadawan
20.

Zero Sum Game?

I winner - 1 loser
21.

Geo-political Risk

  • ?
  • ?
  • ?
  • ?
22.

Sanctions

  • Impact on business
  • Impact on country
  • Impact on people
  • Global repercussions
23.

Retaliation?

24.

Untitled Slide

Betti Newburn