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Smoke Management
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Published on Nov 18, 2015
Smoke
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MORE DECKS TO EXPLORE
PRESENTATION OUTLINE
1.
SMOKE MANAGEMENT
AT WFO MIDLAND
(AND HOPEFULLY ACROSS NFS R3)
2.
REASONING
Consistent grids
Have some basis in science
Rawinsonde data too far apart
Consolidate methodologies!
Photo by
martinak15
3.
CONSISTENCY!
Formatters had to be coded
Consistent fields in time & space
Had to make physical sense
Photo by
martinak15
4.
BUT MOST OF ALL
THE AIRSHED MANAGERS WANTED IT!
Photo by
martinak15
5.
AIRSHEDS CAN
Span PSAs
Span CWAs
Politically sensitive
Photo by
Kevin M. Gill
6.
AIRSHED MANAGERS
In 2008 they told R3...
Wanted everything we had
Wanted it now
Wanted it hourly to D+10
Photo by
Erik Daniel Drost
7.
WE RESPONDED
Will work on that
Will work on that, too
You gotta be kidding!
Photo by
martinak15
8.
FINALIZE FIRE WX
WHAT WFO MAF USES TO SAVE TIME
Photo by
bdesham
9.
A COMPLETE SET OF GRIDS
AND WHEN WE ARE DONE...
Photo by
Karen Roe
10.
CREATE SMOKE MGMT GRIDS
ENSURES CONSISTENCY OR YOUR MONEY BACK!
11.
SO WE STARTED TO CODE
AND ASK SOME QUESTIONS ALONG THE WAY
Photo by
jurvetson
12.
HAINES INDEX
AMA uses "mid"
"high" everywhere else
Easy to code
13.
MIXING HEIGHT
Surface T + 2˚C
Remember, we're 2.5km
Later studies refine this?
Photo by
nordique
14.
CRUDE INTEGRATION
Parcel lifted through model layers
Once the parcel is colder, then
Interpolate back to find MixHgt
Photo by
NOAA Photo Library
15.
TRANSPORT WIND
Vector average of winds
Can't be more than Wind
Photo by
kevin dooley
16.
VENTILATION RATE
TransWind x MixHgt
Scaled to nearest 1000'
Photo by
Spring Dew
17.
USES LATEST NAM12
THE BEST MODEL RESOLUTION WE COULD FIND
Photo by
Vesna Pukich Tiricovska
18.
SMOKE MANAGEMENT
ALL FIELDS AT 3H RESOLUTION TO T+84
Photo by
nosha
Brian Curran
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