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Slide Notes

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Smoke Management

Published on Nov 18, 2015

Smoke

PRESENTATION OUTLINE

SMOKE MANAGEMENT
AT WFO MIDLAND
(AND HOPEFULLY ACROSS NFS R3)

REASONING

  • Consistent grids
  • Have some basis in science
  • Rawinsonde data too far apart
  • Consolidate methodologies!
Photo by martinak15

CONSISTENCY!

  • Formatters had to be coded
  • Consistent fields in time & space
  • Had to make physical sense
Photo by martinak15

BUT MOST OF ALL

THE AIRSHED MANAGERS WANTED IT!
Photo by martinak15

AIRSHEDS CAN

  • Span PSAs
  • Span CWAs
  • Politically sensitive
Photo by Kevin M. Gill

AIRSHED MANAGERS

  • In 2008 they told R3...
  • Wanted everything we had
  • Wanted it now
  • Wanted it hourly to D+10

WE RESPONDED

  • Will work on that
  • Will work on that, too
  • You gotta be kidding!
Photo by martinak15

FINALIZE FIRE WX

WHAT WFO MAF USES TO SAVE TIME
Photo by bdesham

A COMPLETE SET OF GRIDS

AND WHEN WE ARE DONE...
Photo by Karen Roe

CREATE SMOKE MGMT GRIDS

ENSURES CONSISTENCY OR YOUR MONEY BACK!

SO WE STARTED TO CODE

AND ASK SOME QUESTIONS ALONG THE WAY
Photo by jurvetson

HAINES INDEX

  • AMA uses "mid"
  • "high" everywhere else
  • Easy to code

MIXING HEIGHT

  • Surface T + 2˚C
  • Remember, we're 2.5km
  • Later studies refine this?
Photo by nordique

CRUDE INTEGRATION

  • Parcel lifted through model layers
  • Once the parcel is colder, then
  • Interpolate back to find MixHgt

TRANSPORT WIND

  • Vector average of winds
  • Can't be more than Wind
Photo by kevin dooley

VENTILATION RATE

  • TransWind x MixHgt
  • Scaled to nearest 1000'
Photo by Spring Dew

USES LATEST NAM12

THE BEST MODEL RESOLUTION WE COULD FIND

SMOKE MANAGEMENT

ALL FIELDS AT 3H RESOLUTION TO T+84
Photo by nosha