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The IS Curve: Output and the Real Interest Rate

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PRESENTATION OUTLINE

THE IS CURVE: OUTPUT AND THE REAL INTEREST RATE

USE THE IS CURVE TO ANALYZE THE RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN THE REAL INTEREST RATES AND EQUILIBRIUM GDP

IMPORTANCE OF THE INTEREST RATE

  • The real interest rate
  • May be the most important price in the economy
  • Represents the opportunity cost of spending
  • Is the price that determines this year’s aggregate expenditure
  • Is a lever policymakers use to influence the economy
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AGGREGATE EXPENDITURE AND INTEREST RATES

  • Lower interest rates boost
  • Consumption
  • Investment
  • Government purchases
  • Net exports
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SO FAR WE KNOW THAT

THE REAL INTEREST RATE AND AGGREGATE EXPENDITURE

LOWER INTEREST RATES BOOST AGGREGATE EXPENDITURES

WHICH IS MATCHED BY AN INCREASE IN GDP
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AND AN INCREASE IN THE OUTPUT GAP

THE IS CURVE

THE IS CURVE ILLUSTRATES HOW LOWER REAL INTEREST RATES RAISE SPENDING AND GDP LEADING TO A MORE POSITIVE OUTPUT GAP

THE IS CURVE - STEP 1

THE IS CURVE - STEP 2

THE IS CURVE - STEP 3

CHANGING INTEREST RATES LEADS TO A MOVEMENT ALONG THE IS CURVE - STEP 1

CHANGING INTEREST RATES LEADS TO A MOVEMENT ALONG THE IS CURVE - STEP 2

CHANGING INTEREST RATES LEADS TO A MOVEMENT ALONG THE IS CURVE - STEP 3

IF THE INTEREST RATE FALLS FROM 5% TO 3%,

  • The IS curve shifts to the right
  • The IS curve shifts to the left
  • We move to the right along the IS curve
  • We move to the left along the IS curve
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REVIEW: IS CURVE

  • Lower interest rates increase aggregate expenditure
  • In response, businesses increase output, which leads to an increase in GDP
  • An increase in GDP results in an increase in the output gap
  • The IS curve illustrates how lower real interest rates lead to a more positive output gap
Photo by Ikhlasul Amal